Professor Xueqin Jiang, widely known as the Chinese Nostradamus, made predictions about the ongoing Iran US conflict in the Middle East, and what he had to say attracted the attention of many.

This, however, isn’t his first prediction. On the contrary, on his YouTube channel, Predictive History, where he has a large number of followers, Jiang shares forecasts about many global events.

For example, back in 2024, he posted a video of himself sharing three major predictions during a lecture at a high school in China, and two of those predictions have already come true. This left people in anticipation for the third prediction he made, wondering if it will also turn into a reality.

One of those predictions involved Trump and the US 2024 elections. Namely, Jiang said, “If he [Trump] does become president in a second term, there will be a very strong likelihood that the United States will go to war with Iran.”

Hostilities between the USA and Iran escalated into open warfare on February 28, 2026. The situation has grown increasingly volatile, leaving many fearing of the possibility of WWIII. The most striking aspect of Jiang’s prediction of the final outcome of the war: America would be defeated, according to him.

In his analysis of possible war scenarios, the professor argued that an American offensive against Iran would be unlikely to succeed.

“The third big prediction is that the United States will lose this war, which will forever change the global order,” he said, pointing to Iran’s demographics and topography as key factors.

“If this war [US-Iran] were to happen, there’s absolutely no way America can win this war,” he added.

According to Jiang, his predictions are based on “psycho-history,” a specialized framework he uses to analyze recurring historical cycles and project future events.

He had previously argued that the stance of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps is primarily driven by animosity towards the US interventionism in Iran.

“We can suspect that a second Trump term war with Iran will be a major priority.

“Basically the United States is looking for a reason and Iran wants to give them a reason and that’s why I think war between the United States and Iran is very likely in the next two to four years.”

Speaking earlier this month, Jiang remained confident in his predictions: “Given my analysis of how the war is progressing, I think that Iran has many more advantages over the United States. The reality is, right now, it’s a war of attrition between the United States and Iran, and Iranians have been preparing 20 years for this conflict.”

According to Sudan Horizon, Jiang posits that the US faces significant risk in case of a prolonged conflict. He argues that the current state of affairs seems to be shifting to a “war of attrition,” wherein the real winner will not be based on its military capabilities, but on which nation can no longer sustain its economy and resolve.

“Iranian planners have been preparing for this for 20 years,” Jiang said, as per The Public Purview. “In their worldview, this is a civilizational struggle. They see it as a war against the ‘Great Satan.’”

According to the Chinese Nostradamus, the current landscape of warfare has shifted to favor agility over sheer scale.

“The U.S. military-industrial complex was built after World War II to fight the Cold War,” he said. “It is not optimized for drone-saturated, asymmetric attritional warfare.”

He pointed to the growing cost imbalance on the battlefield, where extremely expensive defense systems are often deployed against much cheaper weapons.

“This asymmetry is not sustainable long-term,” he added, referring to the use of million-dollar missile defense systems to intercept drones that may cost only a fraction of that amount.

Aside from that, Jiang also warned that the conflict could have serious economic repercussions, particularly for countries in the Gulf.

He said that key infrastructure like desalination plants, oil facilities, and maritime trade routes could be key pressure points in the conflict, particularly in the Strait of Hormuz.

“Sixty percent of Gulf water supply comes from desalination plants,” he said. “A $50,000 drone could disable a major facility serving millions.”

Jiang warns that the after-effects of this war are not limited to the battlefield, particularly focusing on the global energy chain and finance. He argues that the bottleneck in the Gulf oil exports, accompanied by a halt in the investment pipeline, may set off a “domino effect” on the U.S. domestic sectors, especially those sectors that are subsidized or supported by the Gulf states.

“The American economy is heavily dependent on Gulf petrodollars recycled into its markets,” he argued. “If that cycle breaks, it could trigger systemic stress.”

The Chinese Nostradamus further questioned if a military campaign will in fact achieve one of the objectives often discussed by policymakers, the regime change in Iran.

“History shows airpower alone does not change regimes,” he said. “Ground troops would be required — and that would be enormously costly.”

According to him, certain regional actors, including Saudi Arabia and Israel, might support a tougher US stance towards Teheran, though the issue is politically very sensitive and debated.

Beyond the immediate strategic concerns, Jiang places this conflict in the context of an important shift in global power. He argues that the perception of American “invincibility” is being stripped away, and that we are entering an era in which multiple global powers, not just one, hold sway.

While Jiang’s controversial positions and and the “psycho-history” approach behind it is a subject to a wider debate lacks general proof, his work does tap into a discussion among scholars.

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